St Jude Preview

DFS

$9K+ (2 Pick & 1 Fade)

• Matt

  • Picks

    • Xander Schauffele – $11,100 I’m extremely high on Xander this week — the most confident I’ve felt all year. He’s gained strokes both off the tee and on approach in back-to-back starts for the first time in a full calendar year. Trending perfectly.

    • Patrick Cantlay – $9,000 This is an excellent price for a player with his ceiling. It feels like “backs against the wall” time for Pat, and that’s when he’s dangerous. He’s got strong course history here and is actually playing fine golf in 2024.

  • Fade

    • Scottie Scheffler – $13,000 First Scottie fade of the season? I was far more confident in him at Royal Portrush than I am here. Sure, he’ll play well, but I see a T6 — good in real life, not great for DFS at this price. He just banked $18 million and may ease into the playoffs.

• Adam

  • Picks

    • Tommy Fleetwood $9,900 - Just typing out the name brings back painful memories but this is another Tommy spot and his lack of heart doesn’t hurt you in this format.

    • Matt Fitzpatrick $9,700 - Fitz is dialed and confident across the bag. This is a spot he has three T6 finishes or better in six starts. No need to overthink it.

  • Fade

    • Justin Thomas $10,200 - I reserve the right to rescind this if Joe Greiner appears on his bag on Thursday morning, but unless that’s the case I’m good on JT over $10K.

$8K (2 Pick & 1 Fade)

• Matt

  • Picks

    • Sam Burns – $8,900 When Sam is confident with the driver, he’s a threat to win anywhere. He’s played well here before, loves Bermuda, and is playing with purpose. Strong ceiling.

    • Cameron Young – $8,200 Not expecting the floodgates to open, but I expect continued solid play. This course fits his game, and he’s seeing the Muda very well.

  • Fade

    • Sepp Straka – $8,700 Former winner and Bermuda specialist, but I think he garners too much ownership. There are better pivots in this price range with comparable upside and floor.

• Adam

  • Picks

    • Hideki Matsuyama $8,800 - Driver remains a problem but everything else is dialed and these are driving conditions he’s always been comfortable in, if he gains at all OTT he probably wins.

    • Ben Griffin $8,100 - All time confident golfer and soon to be Ryder Cup stalwart, Ben Griffin, plays golf on Bermuda grasses this week. We know what to do.

  • Fade

    • Keegan Bradley $8,600 - Speaking of Ryder Cup things have not been as dialed for the Captain of late and he’s never been comfortable on these surfaces.

$7K (6 Picks)

• Matt

  • Picks

    • Daniel Berger – $7,800 Chalky Berger usually delivers. Two-time winner here. Plays well at spots that suit him on paper — and this one clearly does.

    • Maverick McNealy – $7,500 Still fighting for a Ryder Cup spot. Don’t expect a win, but T10 upside is there. Driver’s steady and irons have taken a leap in 2024.

    • Shane Lowry – $7,400 Straight-up underpriced. His ball-striking ceiling is as high as anyone in the field. Love buying this dip.

    • Kurt Kitayama – $7,200 Confident ball striker with pop upside. Risky but rewarding play if he puts it together this week.

    • Chris Kirk – $7,200 No history here, but he's posted back-to-back "all-green" Xander weeks — a first since 2022. Just balled out under pressure. He’s a Bermuda killer and back at it again.

    • Taylor Pendrith – $7,100 Low ownership due to inconsistent play, but his ball-striking upside is massive. A buy-low spot with big return potential.

• Adam

  • Picks

    • Daniel Berger $7,800 - Course horse who comes in with extremely pure ball striking, upside is high.

    • Bob Mac $7,700 - Bob Mac in the $7K range? What a treat.

    • Denny McCarthy $7,400 - A course where a lights out Bermuda week can snag you a Top 10 and Denny did just that last year.

    • Chris Kirk $7,200 - Another in-form Bermuda guy, nothing much more to it.

    • Lucas Glover $7,000 - Defending his title 24 months later, and in relatively similar form coming into this one.

    • Akshay Bhatia $7,000 - Once again it went wrong for Akshay at Sedgefield but this is way too big of a price drop on a good course fit here.

$6K (6 Picks)

• Matt

  • Picks

    • Min Woo Lee – $6,800 Always down for Min Woo in this range. The irons are awful, but he can nationalize the driver and pop.

    • Ryan Gerard – $6,700 Your favorite flusher’s favorite flusher. Returning to his favorite surface. The floodgates may be opening.

    • Andrew Novak – $6,600 Bit of a slump, but he’s an “all-green” type at his core. Still brings legit T10 upside, especially on Bermuda.

    • Jacob Bridgeman – $6,300 Gained nearly 22 strokes putting from Cognizant to RBC. Bermuda specialist with real upside.

    • Stephen Jaeger – $6,200 All-or-nothing play. If you want to shoot for the moon, this is your guy. Aggressive ball-striking course — fits him well.

• Adam

  • Picks

    • Sungjae Im $6,800 - Signs of life from Sung and he’s in the $6K range, gotta give it a look.

    • Emiliano Grillo $6,600 - Continues to hit the irons nicely and that’s something he tends to do around here as well.

    • Nico Echavarria $6,500 - Disappointing Sunday from Nicky but demonstrated once again the quality iron player he is and stays on his favored Bermuda here.

    • Ryan Fox $6,500 - Has winning upside every time he tees it up and this is a misprice against a field like this.

    • Jacob Bridgeman $6,300 - Down here it’s about someone who can get hot with the putter and in that category it’s gotta be Bridgeman.