WWT Preview

El Cardonal

Los Cabos, MX


Course, Strategy, and Weather Thoughts

Weather Link

Pure dome golf this week in Los Cabos, and the Course Preview is the way to go in these conditions. Keep it on the planet and then it’s merely a contest of who can attack the most. Pedal will need to be squarely on the floor all week.


DFS

$9K+ - Pick 2 players, fade 1 player.

  • Matt

    • Picks

      • Rico Hoey $10,000 - 10K Rico is somewhat funny but he belongs there. He has been hitting the absolute cover off the ball and finally showed something with the putter. In late 2024, he went on a 4 month run of very solid putting. Who knows, this coule be the start of some nice flashes on the greens. 

      • Michael Thorbjornsen $9,500 - Thorbs had his first weak approach week since July but I expect him to bounce back. He is surely a fall name to ride as he is one of the names who has been closest to popping. I do not expect him to be extremely chalky here and it is a decent price.

    • Fades

      • Garrick Higgo $9,300 - I will fade Higgo here even though the ball striking is in great form. I simply believe he is overpriced and he has never in his career showed consistent form over time. 

  • Adam

    • Picks

      • Ben Griffin $10,500 - We have seen very mixed results from the players at the top of the board in the Fall with a win and two missed cuts. But, BG is an ideal fit here and has reps at Cardonal which makes him the clear class of the field in my book.

      • Michael Brennan $9,000 - I’ll ride the wave on the man who is white hot and comes to a venue where he could easily gain 6+ OTT again.

    • Fades

      • Rico Hoey $10,000 - I don’t have any clear fades in this range of the board this week, but you’re going to have to make putts this week and I still can’t trust Rico to do that. If he mints three straight Top 5s or better, more power to him.

$8K - Pick 2 players, fade 1 player.

  • Matt

    • Picks

      • Nick Taylor $8,800 - Nicky T seems underpriced and underowned in a field like this. He has as much dog as anyone in this field and can surely get to the top in a birdie fest.

      • Nico Echavarria $8,500 - One thing we know for sure, Nicky Nations will get a ton of clean lies this week. We know what his ceiling could be when that is the case. Hopefully he can roll some putts.

    • Fades

      • Pierceson Coody $8,600 - He played very well in Utah and has parlayed a few nice starts. The ball striking has been solid as well but we are seemingly at a peak in pricing for him. I am willing to try and short him at this current number. 

  • Adam

    • Picks

      • Pierceson Coody $8,600 - All Coody needs is comfort at Tour level and we’re seeing that from him lately. He’s gaining across the bag consistently, and my only issue with him is usually ARG which won’t be a problem here. Has the Dog to win after getting reps in contention in Utah.

      • Nico Echavarria $8,500 - It’s Nicky Nations with a clean look on every hole. Not rocket science.

    • Fades

      • Matt Wallace $8,100 - Depends on the format because Wallace does have winning upside but the consistency isn’t there for my liking versus others in this range.

$7K (6 Picks)

  • Matt

    • Picks

      • Stephen Jaeger $7,800 - Jaegs still cannot drive the ball but he is finally showing signs in other areas of the game. His last three starts are really trending in the right direction and I really like the way this course sets up off the tee for him, should be easy driving.

      • Doug Ghim $7,500 - A staple 7K pick. Ghim is a plus ball striker in this field who T20’d here last year. Putter is a mess but the ball striking should have him through the cut with a nice ceiling.

      • Luke Clanton $7,400 - Clanton has finally gained strokes on the greens in back to back starts. This really bugged him all of 2025 so it is nice to see the flat stick turning around. Clanton has not been hitting it the best but he has a massive ball striking ceiling. 

      • Patrick Fishburn $7,300 - I feel like a Fishburn pop is near. He has been driving it really nice which won’t really separate him here but it should set him up for a ton of success. If the irons or putter can match up, he should make this cut. 

      • Kris Ventura $7,200 - Two straight made cuts for Kris V who will be able to bomb it around this place very confidently. He is looking a lot more consistent in the ball striking categories. 

      • Nik Noorgard Moller $7,000 - Very high ceiling player. This should feel like a dream for him off the tee so if he can find something from gap wedge to 8 iron, he should be in for a nice week. 

  • Adam

    • Picks

      • Stephan Jaeger $7,800 - He has been in the wilderness literally and figuratively with how he has been driving the ball, but that won’t hurt him here and the rest of the game looks sharp.

      • Austin Eckroat $7,800 - Defending champion who is arriving in very similar form to how he did last year. Still one of the best ball strikers in the field and loves these greens.

      • Max McGreevy $7,700 - This is a great course fit for Max and he’s playing nice golf of late. Definitely has Top 10 upside here.

      • Steven Fisk $7,500 - MC after the win is fair enough, but this is a course he could hit every green and we have seen him putt nicely on Paspalum previously.

      • Luke Clanton $7,400 - The issues for Clanton have been ARG and he shouldn’t face many problems there this week, the rest of the game is fine.

      • Sami Valimaki $7,000 - One of the best combos of APP + PUTT which is exactly what this place calls for.

$6K (6 Picks)

  • Matt

    • Picks

      • Andrew Putnam $6,800 - Putnam’s approach play has ben very solid which is a great sign. We usually get solid putting from him as well. 

      • Trevor Cone $6,700 - Cone had an all green tee to green week for the first time since 2023. We have seen him once before mix in easy conditions.

      • Adam Schenk $6,600 - Schenk posted back to back plus approach weeks for the first time since May and that was when he T5’d. We know he could get hot on approach and on the greens which is a great combo here. 

      • Luke List $6,600 - We know what Luke List is in terms of plus ball striking and weak putting but here and there we see him mix hard in weak fields. 

      • Nick Dunlap $6,400 - Just hit a few fairways Nick D. The driving conditions are not too tough here which is huge for him. 

      • Luke Donald $6,100 - Donald actually played solid in a featured group at the DP World Tour India Championship which was a very top heavy field. He is surely here to make the cut and believes he has it in him. 

  • Adam

    • Picks

      • Jackson Suber $6,900 - Elite when it comes to spike upside in the irons and putter with solid form overall coming in here, like him a lot.

      • David Lipsky $6,800 - Another elite combination of APP + PUTT when that is all that matters as is the case here in Cabo.

      • Trey Mullinax $6,700 - A legit Top 40 birdie maker on the PGA Tour and trending this fall.

      • Adam Schenk $6,600 - The good form continues for Schenk and he does his best work when it’s time to go low as it is here.

      • Joel Dahmen $6,600 - Somewhat of a Paspalum specialist and it’s surprising to see him priced this low, seems very mispriced with his history at venues like this.

      • Tyler Weaver $6,200 - Amateur from Florida State who is an absolute stud with the ball striking. One to watch and capable of mixing this week.


Outright Selections

Each week 1 point (minus any pre-tournament WDs) will be risked to win the amount they define.

Matt (-7.1 points YTD; this week is to win +21.7 points)  

Keith Mitchell +4000

Love what I saw out of Keith in his first start of the Fall. Also loved his end of season quotes in 2025. He is motivated to play some better golf and ultimately get into the winners circle. There is nothing stopping him on a course like this, if he can keep the putter hot and the confidence up, he should be able to get into the mix at 40/1. 

Patrick Fishburn +9100

Fishburn has been putting together a very spotty finish to the calender year. Solid off the tee, solid approach, and solid putting in various weeks but he has not really put it all together. He finished T12 at this event last year and I feel like we are very close to another pop. Fishburn has the talent to win on the PGA Tour and should be very comfortable here. He will mash off the tee and have a ton of looks with short clubs. 

Ben Kohles +11300

The ball striking from Kohles continues to be excellent. And while the putter was not great yet again, we saw it around field average in his T20 in Utah. We have seen poor putters pop on the green at resort courses before and Kohles can surely be the next man to do it.   

Adam (-19.7 points YTD; this week is to win +16.4 points)

Emiliano Grillo +4500

I will continue going back to Grillo at places where ARG play isn’t going to kill him because the rest of the bag is as good or better than most in these type of fields. We saw the form is still there with solid play in Napa and I’m not worried about the WD in Utah when he was headed towards a missed cut. Good Paspalum history as well.

Austin Eckroat +5500

Rode Eckroat here last year and I don’t see any reason to hop off this year when he remains one of the best ball strikers in the field and has great affinity for these surfaces. Sounded super confident in his presser as well and basically the same number as last year.

Luke Clanton +8000

I’m not sure if I have ever bet Clanton before but this feels like the week and the price to do it. His biggest issue this year has been around the greens which has killed any momentum he gets going. I don’t expect that to be the case this week and he’s shown spike upside in both ball striking categories still this season while regularly making cuts. Time to get the train fully back on the tracks and the perfect spot to do it.

Trey Mullinax +17500

I’m always a sucker for a flier on Trey and he arrives with four straight made cuts and birdie making figures among the best in the field. We saw him take down a weak field event a couple of years ago and he has Dog when he gets into the mix. Boom or bust but a reasonable number to play for the upside.

Vincent (-29.9 points YTD; this week is to win +25.0 points)

Michael Thorbjornsen (+2500)

Thorbjornsen brings elite credentials in the three categories that matter most at El Cardonal - putting, approach play, and driving. His ability to spike with iron play creates the GIR outperformance that separates in these dome golf conditions. At 25/1, he represents excellent value for a player whose strengths align perfectly with a venue where hitting greens and making putts determines the winner.