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Silverado (North)

Napa, CA


Course, Strategy, and Weather Thoughts

Weather Link

As tends to be the case in Napa, very little to note on the weather front besides that it looks absolutely pristine. The post-round wine on the patio will be flowing nicely.

Overall, there is nothing of note here to turn us away from the course keys and the fairways/greens should be quite firm which is the foundation for the short game heavy emphasis here.


DFS

Scottie - Yay or Nay?

  • Matt - Scottie #IN for sure. He will get into the mix here but I can see 1-2 loose shots / missed putts on the West Coast greens making that would be win into a T3-T5. Still should be in the optimal lineup.

  • Adam - Yay. Ownership actually looks reasonable against a KFT field for the most part. Gotta have him.

$9K/$10K - Pick 1 player, fade 1 player.

  • Matt

    • Picks

      • Collin Morikawa $9,100 - In on Collin this week back in his home state. He has a T10 here gaining in every category, a T8/T2 in Detroit which is a great comp in my opinion, and has gotten into the mix at Torrey Pines. 

        He has been doing nothing but stripe and simply put horribly. Maybe these West Coast greens will free him up.

    • Fades

      • Ben Griffin $9,400- I feel like pressure is really on BG this week. He is in a group with some big names and eyes on him. I can see a T46 like he posted in Philly which will surely not pay off at this price.

  • Adam

    • Picks

      • Cameron Young $9,300 - CY has the statistical look of what Scottie did before he went on a huge run after his first win. This is an ideal course fit for his new found Driver/Putter profile, and the floor seems as high as anyone in this range with actual winning upside now.

    • Fades

      • Mav McNealy $9,000 - I was on Mav when he shanked an iron off the tee to lose to Max who holed out from the fairway, and that’s actually the only time he has played well here. No other finishes better than T52 in seven starts and he’s overpriced this week with that history.

$8K - Pick 2 players, fade 1 player.

  • Matt

    • Picks

      • Jackson Koivun $8,500 - Buying young gun stock is a +EV move. Remember how well Clanton treated you in his early starts. Koivun is already showing signs of the same and this is a spot in which he can really show out his driver. 

      • Michael Thorbjornsen $8,000 - Another young gun and potential winner of the low Stanford market this week. Thorbs had a really solid summer and this is a spot he can let his best weapon rip.

    • Fades

      • Sami Valimaki $8,400 - Sami is both overpriced and over popular this week. I am not seeing the love and there are plenty of names below with the exact same ceiling.

  • Adam

    • Picks

      • Davis Thompson $8,800 - Of the chip on the shoulder guys, DT might be the most annoyed after a very lackluster season. However, this is an ideal course fit for his driving and short game which has shown in T9, T30 finishes in his career here so far. I expect a focused effort.

      • Matt McCarty $8,200 - Great spot for McCarty who has some of the highest short game upside in the field, and looks increasingly comfortable at Tour level.

    • Fades

      • Harris English $8,900 - I’m actually fine with everyone in this range, but I’ll take the cop out and fade Harris from the top of the range with very poor course history.

$7K (7 Picks)

  • Matt

    • Patrick Fishburn $7,900 - Surely a Fishburn track. He is coming off two T8 or better finishes in his last four starts and has a 3rd place finish here. 

    • Keith Mitchell $7,700 - Definitely a spot in which Kieth has been circling on his calender. He was upset with his end of the season and he should be very motivated. Look for an easy made cut, a ton of birdies, and T10 upside.

    • Luke Clanton $7,400 - Luke has fell off a tad but I love him to dial back in with these easy driving conditions. Full send all week, high ceiling.

    • Nico Echavarria $7,300 - Nico will get a ton of clean lies this week. He will play from further back, but can gain 6+ on approach.

    • Kevin Roy $7,200 - Is the summer of Roy over? I am willing to give him another shot. He is plus distance which will benefit him here and there is little trouble to hold him back.

    • Kris Ventura $7,100 - Kris V is a bomber and has a T7 here before, as well as a nice result at Torrey Pines. I am in on him with easy scoring conditions. 

    • Quade Cummins $7,000 - Quade has back to back T15s on the KFT which tell me his game is in a really nice spot and he also has a really nice baseline on Poa.

  • Adam

    • Mark Hubbard $7,900 - Strong course history here for the most part, and ended the season with a flurry of steady results.

    • Matt Kuchar $7,800 - We know the rules, play Kuch at Kuch courses and this is a Kuch course.

    • Beau Hossler $7,700 - Dare I say that Beau Hoss could win? No, but this is a spot he loves the short game conditions and he ended the year in excellent form.

    • Cam Champ $7,400 - Rounded into form as the year came to a close and comes to a spot he has great memories of, short game has been much improved of late.

    • Taylor Moore $7,400 - Good spot for the Driver/Short Game make up for T Moore, and ended the year in good form in those departments.

    • Joe Bramlett $7,000 - I actually think if he went by Joe he’d have a Tour win by now, and the SF man loves Napa. Taking the home game vibes.

    • Taylor Montgomery $7,000 - If there was ever a course for the unserious ball striking of Monty this is certainly it as he showed finishing 3rd here in 2023, and the form has been solid of late on the KFT.

$6K (6 Picks)

  • Matt

    • Ryo Hisastune $6,900 - Ryo is not the biggest hitter but he has plenty of iron ceiling to put it close and make enough birdies. 

    • Isaiah Salinda $6,800 - Salinda got off to a nice start in 2025 but there were few courses that really suit his game. This is one that should. Also, he is a California guy. 

    • Chan Kim $6,700 - He has top 30 potential based on ball striking alone. The putter is always an issue with Chan but he can pop in the other categories and match the T26 he posted last year.

    • Will Gordon $6,700 - Willy G did enough to make his way to the fall. He is a big hitter who should fell very comfortable in these open driving conditions. 

    • Trey Mullinax $6,500 - Trey is another big hitter. He posted his first made cut since June in his last start at the Wyndham. This is a far better fit for Trey than Sedgefield is in my opinion, even with the poor course history 

    • Cristobal Del Solar $6,300 - Easy conditions merchant, can easily find a 64 this week. High risk but high reward. 

  • Adam

    • David Lipsky $6,900 - He might be a tad popular but the form and history speak for themselves.

    • Isaiah Salinda $6,800 - Stanford guy with the ideal mold for Silverado, has made cuts here in both starts. Big week needed.

    • Ethan Fang $6,700 - Might have a Top 5 short game in the field, and is highly confident after an elite summer amateur run.

    • Brian Campbell $6,500 - Two-time PGA Tour winner Brian Campbell on a course where driving isn’t important. Yes.

    • Luke List $6,500 - Better golf of late from List and obviously a fan of the west coast conditions with the Torrey win, history here is solid.

    • Pete Malnati $6,400 - Has almost never gained ball striking here but has five Top 40 finishes including a T11 last time he was here, can definitely replicate that from well down the board this week.


Outright Selections

Each week 1 point (minus any pre-tournament WDs) will be risked to win the amount they define.

Matt (-3.1 points YTD; this week is to win +11.5 points) 

Cam Young +2300

We’re going back to the well with Cam.

Young is doing everything well right now: driving it long and straight, crisp iron play, and he’s finding confidence with the putter. That’s the recipe.

I’ll mention the Rocket Mortgage comp a lot this week—and Cam has a strong history there. He thrives on similar setups and his form is elite. If the flatstick cooperates on Poa this week, he’ll be deep in contention.

Collin Morikawa +2500

No one is as frustrated or has the blinders on more than Collin Morikawa. Looking into his last few months of golf. The only thing that has been holding him back is the putter. 

Luckily for Collin, he gained strokes across the board the last time he was here and is very comfortable on these California surfaces. Like I mentioned above, Collin has a great track record at the Rocket, has done it here before, and played very well at Torrey Pines.

Adam (-18.5 points YTD; this week is to win +18.0 points)

Justin Thomas +1800

I would really love to hear SG Greiner is on the bag this week, but we will give it a shot nonetheless. JT can’t drive it on the planet, so he can only win at courses where driving doesn’t matter and this is one of them. He’s the best short game player in the field, and when he gets clean iron looks he always gains. We’ve seen that recipe here many times with four straight T8 or better finishes, and that Silverado experience is another plus versus a field with many first time or limited appearance starters.

Vincent (-25.9 points YTD; this week is to win +21.4 points)

Ben Griffin (+3000)

Griffin combines elite putting (4th) with solid around-the-green play (18th) and competent ball-striking that fits the Silverado template perfectly. His short game prowess provides the foundation for success. At 30/1, he offers excellent value for a player with both the skills and recent form to capitalize on course conditions.

Max Greyserman (+8000)

Greyserman brings solid credentials in both short game categories - 20th in putting and 12th around the green. His recent strong form (6th overall rank) combined with competent ball-striking creates a compelling package for Silverado at generous odds. His short game foundation provides the type of skill set that can spike when conditions favor precision around the greens like we see here.