NEXO CHAMPIONSHIP - SELECTIONS AND COURSE NOTES BELOW MODEL

COURSE NOTES

The DP is finally back, and we’re headed to a first time venue at Trump Aberdeen. It’s a shame we aren’t going to Royal Aberdeen which is just down the street and is one the best links that exists, but this place is still pretty sweet. It’s really not much of a links and lacks many characteristics of a links but it’s beautiful and tucked between rolling, coastal dunes. The winds are expected to be up as they normally are here, but it won’t play quite as exposed due to the dunes that surround the course.

What I remember most about this course is the landing areas being quite wide from the tee, it not being overly long, and the green complexes being very easy. It’s a place where most will be firing from the fairway and this has all of the makings of your classic, random, spike putting DP event. You can make it from pretty much anywhere on or around the greens, so approach play will be useful but it’s hard not to see the key differentiator here being a lights out putting week. We see that often on the DP and I expect it once again here.

OUTRIGHT SELECTIONS

Each week 1 point (minus any pre-tournament WDs) will be risked to win the amount defined.

Adam (+7.4 Point YTD; this week is to win +14.5 points)

Brandon Robinson Thompson +7000

Has been in the mix all season on the DP and we get a drift in his price here against a field that is filled with Challenge Tour players. Capable of random spike approach and spike putting weeks which will do the trick here.

Jeff Winther +8000

Fits the bill of a player who can get white hot with the putter at random, and was in the mix in Germany a few weeks ago on a course that resulted in a similar stat line.

Sean Crocker +9000

He won the Hero Open a few years ago on a course that plays pretty similar to this one - faux links - and a guy who pops a couple times per year at a big price.

Elvis Smylie +9000

Winner in Australia to start the season and showed a lot of confidence on the faux links services at the Scottish a few weeks back.

Joakim Lagergren +12000

We’re looking for guys who can get white hot on the greens and this is another example of someone who does that at random, but is worth a flier on in conditions like this. Probably will fire a 56 and 80 this week.

Robin Williams +12500

Considered a single bullet because this price is way off versus his talent level in this field and he mixed hard at the Dunhill Links. He’s legit good, and will almost certainly win at this level soon enough. Get him on the c and ask Jerz for the video from Oakmont where he was an ALT.

Vincent (+6.3 Point YTD; this week is to win +15.9 points)

Kristoffer Reitan (+1800)

Reitan brings elite putting (6th) and excellent driving (2nd) with solid approach work (28th) - the perfect combination for Trump Aberdeen. His putting prowess should thrive on easier green complexes, and his well-rounded game provides excellent value at these odds.

Clement Sordet (+15000)

Sordet offers elite putting (8th) - exactly what this venue rewards. His putting prowess gives him the key weapon needed for a lights-out week, and at 150/1, you're getting incredible odds on someone whose strongest skill matches what Trump Aberdeen demands most.

Matt (-7.1 Point YTD; this week is to win +7.5 points)

Nathan Kimsey +5000

You want to learn a little something about positinal golf, you watch Nathan Kimsey. 20th on the DPWT in driving accuracy and showed some nice signs at the Open Championship.

Richie Ramsay +5500

One of the most accurate drivers in this feild and scrambles very well. Also, really trending on approach.

Jeff Winther +6500

Always down for a Dane, he also brings the accuracy + short game to the table. 23rd this season in accuracy and 62nd in scrambling. Four straight made cuts including a T4 and some nice iron form.

Matthew Southgate +9000

Generational non winner, generational positional striper. Willing to give him a go at this number.

Adrian Otaegui +9000

Anytime driving accuracy is in question, Tagz comes to mind. He won “this event” in 2020 which I am not taking too much into but proves he is comfortable in Scotland. Buying his driving accuracy ceiling.

Jack Senior +10000

Very accurate driver but struggles a tad around the green, love his T4 at the KLM Open which draws similarities.

Davis Bryant +10000

The American burst onto the scene a few weeks ago and showed a ton of game. T10 and T4 in his last two DPWT starts and inside the top 25 in this field in both driving accuracy and scrambling.

Jason Scrivener +11000

If there is a spot for Scriv to get into the mix, it is conditions like these. I will give him a run at 110.

Andrew Wilson +15000

Solely buying the driving accuracy at 150, the rest of his game is not elite but he can B Wu Mexico (ifykyk) his way to contention.

Joel Girrbach +17500

Joel posted one of his best weeks of the season at the Barracuda which is a much stronger field than what he is used to. That should build some confidence on a course that should suit him.

Deon Germishuys +45000

Deon has not been making cuts but he ranks very high in this field in terms of driving accuracy and has gained strokes on approach in three of his last five starts.